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Risk-reward ratio and break-even win rate calculator

The risk-reward ratio compares the target distance with the stop distance. From it you can read how often you must be right just to break even, and whether your win rate is enough.

Risk-reward (1 : x)2
Break-even win rate (%)33,3
Stop distance (price)600
Target distance (price)1.200
Expectancy per 1R at that win rate (R)0,2
Formula

How it is calculated.

RR = |target − entry| ÷ |entry − stop|.
Break-even win rate = 1 ÷ (1 + RR).
Expectancy per 1R = win rate × RR − (1 − win rate).

RRBreak-even win rate
1 : 150%
1 : 1.540%
1 : 233.3%
1 : 325%
The break-even formula ignores fees and slippage. In practice, open and close fees reduce the reward and enlarge the loss, so the required win rate is slightly higher. The Trader Pending order preview shows RR after fees.
A win rate only means something across enough trades, recorded honestly in a journal; ten trades tell you nothing yet.
Futures trading carries high risk and capital can be lost. This calculator is not investment advice.
FAQ

What you should know.

Is 1:2 always better than 1:1?

Not by itself. A larger RR needs a lower win rate to break even, but a farther target is reached less often. What matters is expectancy: your real win rate times RR minus the losses.

What if I use several targets?

Compute a blended RR from each target's share. Two targets with 50% at 1R and 50% at 3R equal 1:2 if both are hit; if only the first is hit and the rest is stopped out, the result differs. A journal recording R per trade shows the real figure.

How does this relate to position size?

RR sets the shape of the trade; position size sets what 1R is in money. Both come from the same stop distance; see the position size calculator.

Further reading